{"id":1015191,"date":"2026-09-29T09:45:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T12:45:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/?post_type=noticia&p=1015191"},"modified":"2026-09-29T09:50:11","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T12:50:11","slug":"without-integration-latin-america-could-lose-us-32-billion-annually-and-see-power-sector-emissions-triple-by-2045-according-to-a-study-in-nature-communications-involving-psr","status":"publish","type":"noticia","link":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/en\/news\/without-integration-latin-america-could-lose-us-32-billion-annually-and-see-power-sector-emissions-triple-by-2045-according-to-a-study-in-nature-communications-involving-psr\/","title":{"rendered":"Without integration, Latin America could lose US$ 32 billion annually and see power sector emissions triple by 2045, according to a study in Nature Communications involving PSR"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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A falta de integra\u00e7\u00e3o el\u00e9trica pode custar \u00e0 Am\u00e9rica Latina at\u00e9 US$ 32 bilh\u00f5es por ano. Al\u00e9m disso, manter os sistemas nacionais praticamente isolados, como hoje, encarece a opera\u00e7\u00e3o e a expans\u00e3o da regi\u00e3o em at\u00e9 7% e mais que triplica as emiss\u00f5es do setor el\u00e9trico at\u00e9 2045. E essa conta pode ser ainda mais cr\u00edtica justamente nos anos de seca, quando a interconex\u00e3o entre pa\u00edses faria mais diferen\u00e7a.<\/p>\n\n

Os n\u00fameros fazem parte do artigo “Climate urgency enables political alignment for Latin American power integration”<\/em>, publicado em setembro na revista Nature Communications<\/em>. O trabalho, que respalda conclus\u00f5es de in\u00fameros estudos da PSR sobre integra\u00e7\u00e3o regional na Am\u00e9rica Latina, conta com a participa\u00e7\u00e3o de Luiz Barroso, CEO da PSR e pesquisador associado do Instituto de Tecnol\u00f3gica, Universidad Pontificia Comillas, Madrid, Espa\u00f1a, que integra o grupo de autores, ao lado de pesquisadores da Universidad de Chile, da Pontificia Universidad Cat\u00f3lica de Valpara\u00edso, da Universidad Adolfo Ib\u00e1\u00f1ez e da Universidad Tecnol\u00f3gica Centroamericana.<\/p>\n\n

O estudo parte de um diagn\u00f3stico conhecido: a Am\u00e9rica Latina tem uma das matrizes el\u00e9tricas mais limpas do mundo\u00a0(aproximadamente 62% de fontes renov\u00e1veis) e forte complementaridade entre essas fontes em diferentes pa\u00edses da regi\u00e3o, mas a integra\u00e7\u00e3o el\u00e9trica multilateral continua sendo dificultada por fragmenta\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica.<\/p>\n\n

Os autores prop\u00f5em uma metodologia para contribuir com uma solu\u00e7\u00e3o para este impasse, combinando Multiple Streams Approach (modelo de an\u00e1lise de pol\u00edticas publicas para explicar como certos temas entram na agenda de prioridades do governo) com um modelo de expans\u00e3o de longo prazo que co-otimiza gera\u00e7\u00e3o, armazenamento e transmiss\u00e3o transfronteiri\u00e7a em 21 pa\u00edses, no horizonte 2025\u20132050, sob alguns cen\u00e1rios hidrol\u00f3gicos. A proposta \u00e9 traduzir barreiras pol\u00edticas historicamente tratadas como intang\u00edveis (como desconfian\u00e7a m\u00fatua e prefer\u00eancia por soberania energ\u00e9tica) em n\u00fameros compar\u00e1veis.<\/p>\n\n

O trabalho tamb\u00e9m identifica onde est\u00e3o os incentivos e os receios de cada pa\u00eds. O Brasil aparece como o pa\u00eds que mais perde economicamente ao n\u00e3o se integrar (seguido por Paraguai, Col\u00f4mbia e Peru), o que o posiciona como potencial articulador do processo. Bol\u00edvia e Uruguai, por sua vez, aparecem como os mais expostos ao risco de apostar em um sistema integrado, o que refor\u00e7a a necessidade de garantias regionais e mecanismos de compartilhamento de risco para viabilizar uma coaliz\u00e3o mais ampla.<\/p>\n\n

A partir dessas evid\u00eancias, os autores sugerem um “Pacto Energ\u00e9tico Latino-Americano” que leve \u00e0 cria\u00e7\u00e3o faseada de um Sistema de Integra\u00e7\u00e3o El\u00e9trica da Am\u00e9rica Latina (SIEAL), com harmoniza\u00e7\u00e3o de regras t\u00e9cnicas e comerciais para o com\u00e9rcio transfronteiri\u00e7o, prioriza\u00e7\u00e3o de corredores estrat\u00e9gicos de interconex\u00e3o, cria\u00e7\u00e3o de um fundo regional de integra\u00e7\u00e3o e indicadores de acompanhamento. A proposta parte de acordos j\u00e1 existentes, como os das hidrel\u00e9tricas de Itaipu, Yaciret\u00e1 e Salto Grande e o da rede SIEPAC, que interliga os sistemas el\u00e9tricos de seis pa\u00edses da Am\u00e9rica Central.<\/p>\n\n

“A viabilidade t\u00e9cnica e econ\u00f4mica da integra\u00e7\u00e3o el\u00e9trica regional j\u00e1 est\u00e1 demonstrada h\u00e1 d\u00e9cadas, com muita participa\u00e7\u00e3o da PSR em estudos. Este trabalho busca colocar um pre\u00e7o no que sempre tratamos como obst\u00e1culo pol\u00edtico, para o debate deixar de ser abstrato e ganhar os elementos concretos de que negociadores e formuladores de pol\u00edtica precisam”, explica Luiz Barroso.<\/p>\n\n

O artigo est\u00e1 dispon\u00edvel em acesso aberto neste link<\/a>. E o conjunto completo dos resultados das simula\u00e7\u00f5es (incluindo matriz el\u00e9trica dos pa\u00edses, fluxos de transmiss\u00e3o, investimentos e custos) pode ser consultado na plataforma interativa desenvolvida pela equipe: https:\/\/explorer.energia.la\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A lack of power sector integration could cost Latin America up to US$ 32 billion per year. Furthermore, keeping national systems largely isolated\u2014as is currently the case\u2014increases the cost of regional operations and expansion by up to 7% and more than triples power sector emissions by 2045. This cost could be even more critical during […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":1015183,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"categories":[],"class_list":["post-1015191","noticia","type-noticia","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Energy fragmentation is costing Latin America billions. 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