{"id":1009192,"date":"2025-08-16T09:56:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-16T12:56:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/novosite.psr-inc.com\/projeto-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/"},"modified":"2026-02-05T16:34:27","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T19:34:27","slug":"operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables","status":"publish","type":"projeto-pdi","link":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/","title":{"rendered":"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"vgblk-rw-wrapper limit-wrapper\">Una nueva metodolog\u00eda y un modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla el resultado del DESSEM, pero con resoluci\u00f3n horaria, representando la operaci\u00f3n bajo la incertidumbre de la demanda y la producci\u00f3n cada vez m\u00e1s intermitente, co-optimizando la reserva de potencia operativa a corto plazo de manera probabil\u00edstica.<\/p>\n<p>El n\u00famero de restricciones del problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico se reduce debido a la t\u00e9cnica de &#8216;affine rules&#8217;. El primer conjunto de ecuaciones y restricciones del modelo representa una &#8216;trayectoria operativa de referencia&#8217;, dada por la estimaci\u00f3n de m\u00e1xima verosimilitud de los escenarios ponderados de demanda, renovables, etc. Un segundo conjunto adicional de ecuaciones y restricciones representa el hecho de que los valores realizados de producci\u00f3n renovable y demanda, en cada hora, son diferentes de las previsiones. Como consecuencia, es necesario realizar un ajuste operativo (desviaci\u00f3n con respecto a la trayectoria de referencia). Las variables de decisi\u00f3n del problema de optimizaci\u00f3n bajo incertidumbre son los coeficientes de ajuste de cada generador (similar al Control Autom\u00e1tico de Generaci\u00f3n), conocidos en la literatura como &#8216;affine decision rules&#8217;. El problema final corresponde a un modelo de programaci\u00f3n entera mixta (MIP) de gran escala. Un resultado adicional del modelo es la reserva de generaci\u00f3n din\u00e1mica.<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .vgblk-rw-wrapper --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Una nueva metodolog\u00eda y un modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla el resultado del DESSEM, pero con resoluci\u00f3n horaria, representando la operaci\u00f3n bajo la incertidumbre de la demanda y la producci\u00f3n cada vez m\u00e1s intermitente, co-optimizando la reserva de potencia operativa a corto plazo de manera probabil\u00edstica. El n\u00famero de restricciones del problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":1009300,"parent":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"categoria-de-projeto-pdi":[373],"class_list":["post-1009192","projeto-pdi","type-projeto-pdi","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","categoria-de-projeto-pdi-optimizacion-de-sistemas-y-cadenas-de-suministro"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Una nueva metodolog\u00eda y un modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla el resultado del DESSEM, pero con resoluci\u00f3n horaria, representando la operaci\u00f3n bajo la incertidumbre de la demanda y la producci\u00f3n cada vez m\u00e1s intermitente, co-optimizando la reserva de potencia operativa a corto plazo de manera probabil\u00edstica. El n\u00famero de restricciones del problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"PSR Energy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/psrenergy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-05T19:34:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"783\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"522\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@psrenergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/\",\"name\":\"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-16T12:56:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-05T19:34:27+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\",\"width\":783,\"height\":522},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/\",\"name\":\"PSR\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"PSR Energy Consulting\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"PSR\",\"alternateName\":\"PSR Energy Consulting\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/03\\\/logo-psr.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/03\\\/logo-psr.svg\",\"width\":1056,\"height\":816,\"caption\":\"PSR\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/psrenergy\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/psrenergy\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/psrenergy\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/psrenergy\\\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/","og_locale":"es_ES","og_type":"article","og_title":"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables","og_description":"Una nueva metodolog\u00eda y un modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla el resultado del DESSEM, pero con resoluci\u00f3n horaria, representando la operaci\u00f3n bajo la incertidumbre de la demanda y la producci\u00f3n cada vez m\u00e1s intermitente, co-optimizando la reserva de potencia operativa a corto plazo de manera probabil\u00edstica. El n\u00famero de restricciones del problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico...","og_url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/","og_site_name":"PSR Energy","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/psrenergy","article_modified_time":"2026-02-05T19:34:27+00:00","og_image":[{"width":783,"height":522,"url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@psrenergy","twitter_misc":{"Tiempo de lectura":"2 minutos"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/","name":"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","datePublished":"2025-08-16T12:56:27+00:00","dateModified":"2026-02-05T19:34:27+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"es","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","width":783,"height":522},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacion-estocastica-horaria-y-reserva-de-potencia-para-el-sin-con-incertidumbres-de-fuentes-renovables\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Operaci\u00f3n Estoc\u00e1stica Horaria y Reserva de Potencia para el SIN con Incertidumbres de Fuentes Renovables"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/","name":"PSR","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/#organization"},"alternateName":"PSR Energy Consulting","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"es"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/#organization","name":"PSR","alternateName":"PSR Energy Consulting","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/logo-psr.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/logo-psr.svg","width":1056,"height":816,"caption":"PSR"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/psrenergy","https:\/\/x.com\/psrenergy","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/psrenergy\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/psrenergy\/"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projeto-pdi\/1009192","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projeto-pdi"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/projeto-pdi"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1009300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1009192"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"categoria-de-projeto-pdi","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categoria-de-projeto-pdi?post=1009192"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}