{"id":1009212,"date":"2025-08-16T09:56:29","date_gmt":"2025-08-16T12:56:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/novosite.psr-inc.com\/projeto-pdi\/prevision-de-demanda-precios-y-respaldo-para-mercados-de-energia\/"},"modified":"2026-02-05T16:36:51","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T19:36:51","slug":"prevision-de-demanda-precios-y-respaldo-para-mercados-de-energia","status":"publish","type":"projeto-pdi","link":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/prevision-de-demanda-precios-y-respaldo-para-mercados-de-energia\/","title":{"rendered":"Previsi\u00f3n de Demanda, Precios y Respaldo para Mercados de Energ\u00eda"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"vgblk-rw-wrapper limit-wrapper\">El objetivo es desarrollar un modelo computacional especificado a partir de una formulaci\u00f3n matem\u00e1tica completa y conceptualmente robusta, capaz de proyectar la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda y de los precios de la energ\u00eda y del respaldo para los mercados libre y regulado, considerando la inserci\u00f3n de generaci\u00f3n distribuida.<\/p>\n<p>El modelo est\u00e1 estructurado en Julia. Para restablecer la din\u00e1mica entre el mercado regulado y el mercado libre, se utiliza el equilibrio de mercado estoc\u00e1stico, que integra la optimizaci\u00f3n estoc\u00e1stica multi-etapa y la teor\u00eda de juegos. Para el modelado de los agentes, se considera que cada uno de ellos busca maximizar su expectativa de ingresos ajustada al riesgo, utilizando la m\u00e9trica CVaR. Para establecer el equilibrio, se utiliza la maximizaci\u00f3n del &#8216;Welfare&#8217; (bienestar), es decir, maximizar la suma de las funciones objetivo de todos los agentes, respetando el perfil de riesgo de cada uno de ellos, y se utiliza MOPED para el modelado de las restricciones. Adem\u00e1s, el modelo desarrollado se integra con los modelos OptGen (optimizaci\u00f3n de la expansi\u00f3n) y OptFolio (optimizaci\u00f3n de la contrataci\u00f3n desde la perspectiva del agente), para evaluar c\u00f3mo la perspectiva del generador difiere de la visi\u00f3n del planificador centralizado en cuanto a la viabilidad de construir nueva capacidad de generaci\u00f3n, y para determinar cu\u00e1l es la expansi\u00f3n de menor costo sist\u00e9mico.<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .vgblk-rw-wrapper --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El objetivo es desarrollar un modelo computacional especificado a partir de una formulaci\u00f3n matem\u00e1tica completa y conceptualmente robusta, capaz de proyectar la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda y de los precios de la energ\u00eda y del respaldo para los mercados libre y regulado, considerando la inserci\u00f3n de generaci\u00f3n distribuida. El modelo est\u00e1 estructurado en Julia. Para&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":1005025,"parent":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"categoria-de-projeto-pdi":[375],"class_list":["post-1009212","projeto-pdi","type-projeto-pdi","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","categoria-de-projeto-pdi-pronostico-y-analisis-de-datos"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Previsi\u00f3n de Demanda, Precios y Respaldo para Mercados de Energ\u00eda<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/es\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/prevision-de-demanda-precios-y-respaldo-para-mercados-de-energia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Previsi\u00f3n de Demanda, Precios y Respaldo para Mercados de Energ\u00eda\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El objetivo es desarrollar un modelo computacional especificado a partir de una formulaci\u00f3n matem\u00e1tica completa y conceptualmente robusta, capaz de proyectar la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda y de los precios de la energ\u00eda y del respaldo para los mercados libre y regulado, considerando la inserci\u00f3n de generaci\u00f3n distribuida. 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