{"id":1005019,"date":"2025-08-16T09:56:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-16T12:56:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/novosite.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/projeto-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/"},"modified":"2025-09-08T17:55:53","modified_gmt":"2025-09-08T20:55:53","slug":"operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis","status":"publish","type":"projeto-pdi","link":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/","title":{"rendered":"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"vgblk-rw-wrapper limit-wrapper\">Nova metodologia e modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla o resultado do DESSEM, mas com resolu\u00e7\u00e3o hor\u00e1ria, representando a opera\u00e7\u00e3o sob incerteza da demanda e produ\u00e7\u00e3o cada vez mais intermitente, co-otimizando a reserva de pot\u00eancia operativa de curto prazo de maneira probabil\u00edstica.<\/p>\n<p>O n\u00famero de restri\u00e7\u00f5es do problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico \u00e9 reduzido devido \u00e0 t\u00e9cnica de affine rules. O primeiro conjunto de equa\u00e7\u00f5es e restri\u00e7\u00f5es do modelo representa uma &#8220;trajet\u00f3ria operativa de refer\u00eancia&#8221;, dada pela estimativa de m\u00e1xima verossimilhan\u00e7a dos cen\u00e1rios ponderados de demanda, renov\u00e1veis etc. Um segundo conjunto adicional de equa\u00e7\u00f5es e restri\u00e7\u00f5es representa o fato de os valores realizados de produ\u00e7\u00e3o renov\u00e1vel e demanda, a cada hora, serem diferentes das previs\u00f5es. Como consequ\u00eancia, \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio fazer um ajuste operativo (desvio com rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 trajet\u00f3ria de refer\u00eancia). As vari\u00e1veis de decis\u00e3o do problema de otimiza\u00e7\u00e3o sob incerteza s\u00e3o os coeficientes de ajuste de cada gerador (similar ao Controle Autom\u00e1tico de Gera\u00e7\u00e3o), conhecidos na literatura como affine decision rules. O problema final corresponde a um modelo de programa\u00e7\u00e3o inteira mista (MIP) de grande porte. Um resultado adicional do modelo \u00e9 a reserva de gera\u00e7\u00e3o din\u00e2mica.<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .vgblk-rw-wrapper --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nova metodologia e modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla o resultado do DESSEM, mas com resolu\u00e7\u00e3o hor\u00e1ria, representando a opera\u00e7\u00e3o sob incerteza da demanda e produ\u00e7\u00e3o cada vez mais intermitente, co-otimizando a reserva de pot\u00eancia operativa de curto prazo de maneira probabil\u00edstica. O n\u00famero de restri\u00e7\u00f5es do problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico \u00e9 reduzido devido \u00e0 t\u00e9cnica&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":1009298,"parent":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"categoria-de-projeto-pdi":[240],"class_list":["post-1005019","projeto-pdi","type-projeto-pdi","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","categoria-de-projeto-pdi-otimizacao-de-sistemas-e-cadeias-de-suprimentos"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nova metodologia e modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla o resultado do DESSEM, mas com resolu\u00e7\u00e3o hor\u00e1ria, representando a opera\u00e7\u00e3o sob incerteza da demanda e produ\u00e7\u00e3o cada vez mais intermitente, co-otimizando a reserva de pot\u00eancia operativa de curto prazo de maneira probabil\u00edstica. O n\u00famero de restri\u00e7\u00f5es do problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico \u00e9 reduzido devido \u00e0 t\u00e9cnica...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"PSR Energy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/psrenergy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-08T20:55:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"783\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"522\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@psrenergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. tempo de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/\",\"name\":\"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-16T12:56:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-08T20:55:53+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp\",\"width\":783,\"height\":522},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/consultoria\\\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\\\/projetos-pdi\\\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/\",\"name\":\"PSR\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"PSR Energy Consulting\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"PSR\",\"alternateName\":\"PSR Energy Consulting\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/03\\\/logo-psr.svg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/03\\\/logo-psr.svg\",\"width\":1056,\"height\":816,\"caption\":\"PSR\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.psr-inc.com\\\/pt-br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/psrenergy\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/psrenergy\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/psrenergy\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/psrenergy\\\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/","og_locale":"pt_BR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis","og_description":"Nova metodologia e modelo matem\u00e1tico computacional que contempla o resultado do DESSEM, mas com resolu\u00e7\u00e3o hor\u00e1ria, representando a opera\u00e7\u00e3o sob incerteza da demanda e produ\u00e7\u00e3o cada vez mais intermitente, co-otimizando a reserva de pot\u00eancia operativa de curto prazo de maneira probabil\u00edstica. O n\u00famero de restri\u00e7\u00f5es do problema de despacho estoc\u00e1stico \u00e9 reduzido devido \u00e0 t\u00e9cnica...","og_url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/","og_site_name":"PSR Energy","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/psrenergy","article_modified_time":"2025-09-08T20:55:53+00:00","og_image":[{"width":783,"height":522,"url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@psrenergy","twitter_misc":{"Est. tempo de leitura":"2 minutos"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/","name":"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","datePublished":"2025-08-16T12:56:27+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-08T20:55:53+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"pt-BR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pt-BR","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Operacao-Estocastica-Horaria-e-Reserva-de-Potencia-para-o-SIN-com-Incertezas-de-Fontes-Renovaveis.webp","width":783,"height":522},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/consultoria\/pesquisa-desenvolvimento\/projetos-pdi\/operacao-estocastica-horaria-e-reserva-de-potencia-para-o-sin-com-incertezas-de-fontes-renovaveis\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Opera\u00e7\u00e3o Estoc\u00e1stica Hor\u00e1ria e Reserva de Pot\u00eancia para o SIN com Incertezas de Fontes Renov\u00e1veis"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/","name":"PSR","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/#organization"},"alternateName":"PSR Energy Consulting","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"pt-BR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/#organization","name":"PSR","alternateName":"PSR Energy Consulting","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pt-BR","@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/logo-psr.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/logo-psr.svg","width":1056,"height":816,"caption":"PSR"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/psrenergy","https:\/\/x.com\/psrenergy","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/psrenergy\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/psrenergy\/"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projeto-pdi\/1005019","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projeto-pdi"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/projeto-pdi"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1009298"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1005019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"categoria-de-projeto-pdi","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.psr-inc.com\/pt-br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categoria-de-projeto-pdi?post=1005019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}