Issue 120 • December 2016

2017: Navigating the Storms and Repairing the Sector Model

TEN YEARS OF ENERGY REPORT!

The first ER issue in January 2006 addressed Bolivia, Argentina and Brazil gas supply problems that reduced the system's steady supply capacity by 16% and led to January 2008 "scare” when risk of deficit exceeded 30%. Since then, ER analyzed several advances, such as auctions, some setbacks and other "scares". Our anniversary coincides with a new stage of improvement of the sector model, which is the subject of the editorial. Many thanks to our readers! We hope to continue deserving your interest and confidence in now "pre-teen" ER.

OPINION

In this issue, we present some reflections on the challenges and routes to be taken to improve the sector model.

WATER RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT

The subject of this section is the modeling of climate change impact on flows, a matter of growing importance and urgency.

INTERNATIONAL

In this issue, we analyze: (i) the Andean Electric Interconnection System (SINEA); (Ii) the Utility of the Future study prepared jointly by MIT (USA) and the IIT University of Comillas (Spain) on the global energy transition currently underway.

SUPPLY

This issue presents updated balance of structural demand and supply of energy for the coming years, including our traditional delay meter.

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Electronically published since 2006, the PSR Energy Report is a monthly newsletter developed by PSR, whose main objective is to present a comprehensive and current analysis of regulatory, legal issues, water resources and environment and supply of the electricity sector in Brazil.