An Integrated Planning Framework for the Peruvian Energy Sector

Marcelo M Resende (PSR), Ana Sofia V D Aranha (PSR), Rafael Kelman (PSR), Mário Pereira (PSR), Rafael Garaffa (COPPE/UFRJ)

In this paper, we present a state-of-the-art energy planning framework, that is being used by the Peruvian Ministry of Energy and Mines to formulate official studies. It is composed of six different models, which cover demand forecasting and supply optimization of primary and secondary energy resources, such as electricity, oil, gas, coal and biomass. It also includes a module for evaluating the impacts of the energy system development on the Peruvian economy and its feedback on energy demand. We focus on how these models are coherently integrated to provide a flexible, consistent and practical system. Results show a high penetration of renewable power generation technologies in 2040 and the need for investments in natural gas processing and transportation facilities. The modernization of existing refineries is also important to reduce the need of diesel imports and adapt the sulfur content to new national legislation.

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